To determine once and for all whether the statistical point system of the PBA truly reflects the true performance of a player, I have decided to compare it with the MVP Rating system of SportsRatings. To calculate for MVP ratings, the following equations are to be used :
1. total performance = points scored - shots missed + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks - fouls - errors
2. total score = total output x efficiency , where total output = total performance x total games and efficiency = total output / total minutes played
3. MVP rating = total score x team's winning percentage
The equations are easy to solve once all the statistics for a season are known. The equations take into account the player's performance on a per minute basis as well as his contribution to his team's success. Hence, a player who helps his team win more games will have a higher MVP rating than those whose teams continue to lose. The equations also give due importance to players who play limited minutes but contribute greatly to their teams. Lastly, the equations favor those players who have higher shooting percentages. Those players who take a lot of shots but miss a lot as well will have lower MVP ratings.
MVP RATINGS OF THE PBA MYTHICAL TEAM FOR SEASON 2008-2009
1. Dondon Hontiveros - 227.3
2. Jay Washington - 212.7
3. Jay-R Reyes - 172.6
4. Mac Cardona - 155.4
5. Arwind Santos - 152.8
6. Jayjay Helterbrand - 151.6
7. Willie Miller - 140.0
8. Asi Taulava - 111.0
9. Gabe Norwood - 108.6
10. Kelly Williams - 78.0
others :
Ranidel de Ocampo - 181.0
Jimmy Alapag - 156.3
James Yap - 48.3
note : statistics used were obtained from the 2009 PBA annuals, all players were given a total of 138 fouls for the whole season and errors were not taken into account because of lack of data
What is surprising is that the PBA MVP has an MVP rating that only lands him in the second mythical team. Jay-R Reyes and Dondon Hontiveros who both landed in the PBA second mythical team should have earned places in the first team. The most eye-popping discovery is that Ranidel de Ocampo and Jimmy Alapag should have been given places in the first mythical team. These two players were completely ignored by the PBA in its annual awards.
The results of the MVP rating system only reinforces my belief that the MVP and other awards in the PBA are merely determined by public perception and popularity. Truly outstanding and hardworking players are not properly acknowledged and rewarded for their efforts. I wonder how the MVP ratings stack up with the MVP and other awardees of the recently-concluded season of the PBA. Will there be surprises as well ?
losseeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeer!!!!!
ReplyDeletewalang kwenta ang equation na naderived mo.. none sense..
ReplyDeletedear anonymous,
ReplyDeletethe equations that i used are in SportsRatings and are used extensively in the US. ikaw ang walang kwenta....and nonsense is not spelled none sense.
Ang wala sa equation dito is the winnings ng team at statistical points scored by a player during play-offs. Definitely, the winnings and statical points earned during elimination round and play-off must be rated differently. Hence, multiplying total score by team's winnings percentage is not accurate.
ReplyDeleteAlso, PBA annual awards were not only measured by quantitative aspects but qualitative as well.
ReplyDeletedear anonymous,
ReplyDeletethanks for reading my blog.
the stats i used include the total performance of the players for the whole season. i also used their team's total victories against total games played to come up with the team's winning percentage.
i think james deserves it talaga . no doubt, makaiskor man ang isang player ng sangkaterba kung mpgchampion ang team niya ay di niya magawa, nonsense yun..
ReplyDelete